- This article is from the third party free media person: Border9
The first question is why the US is fighting in Afghanistan.
The likelihood small associate feels the blogger is sick, this is not obvious matter, in the beginning, bin Laden bombed the Gemini of the United States, the American looked for bin Laden to seek vengeance.
It’s not that simple, of course, because it’s been 20 years and much of the decision-making process is now out in the open.
In fact, before bin laden Fried Gemini, the U.S. intelligence community have noticed this man, after all, they are old, had to play when the Soviet union for fighting, a lot of weapons to Afghanistan, CIA intelligence officer once escorts to Afghanistan, by the way, the process, just met Osama bin laden in the cave, and some U.S. officials and bin laden’s very well, There’s a lot of analysis on Bin Laden.
The result is that this person is mentally ill, totally out of control, only believes in God, and he thinks his faith is pure and pure, and everyone else’s is a problem.
Bin Laden’s organization is called «al Qaeda», actually the translation is wrong, originally means «fundamental», or «pure», such people, always opponents, in their eyes, everyone else is heretical. Americans have long dealt with such people because they are trying to divide the enemy from within. They are often the best people to use. But they also know that they are the easiest people to bite back at, because they regard the United States as a heretic, or even more so, a heretic.
So before 9/11, the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), which was based in Pakistan, found out about bin Laden and thought they were planning something big.
Say a few words of Pakistan’s inter-services intelligence agency, the agency and bent search area, South Korea’s procuratorate, is «China», busy themselves, their leaders also can cooperate with them, can not directly control, generally think they really grey eminence is the United States, so not hear the word of their own government.
The ISI, on the one hand, is pro-American, perhaps even a puppet of the United States in Pakistan, but on the other hand it is not a monolithic organization, and many people are anti-American, and in opposition to the United States, the organization continued to provide support to Bin Laden.
This is why people are so confused about this organization. They intuitively feel like they are wearing the same pants as the United States, but the whole West is saying that bin Laden was able to hide for so many years mainly because the organization helped. Osama bin Laden was later killed in Pakistan, so suspicions were not unfounded.
In other words, the US knew that the dog it had once owned was going to bite it back, but it didn’t expect to go so far. There are a lot of conspiracy theories here that the US was behind it, but I won’t talk about them. Personally, I don’t think it makes any sense.
There has been an evolution of US policy since the bin Laden accident
The favoured option was a «special operations» scheme, similar to the one used against the Soviet Union, in which the United States sent special forces to join forces with local tribal warlords to topple the Taliban and hunt down Osama bin Laden. The cost is low, the effect is obvious, and the results are quick. In fact, that’s how it was done in us from the very beginning, the actor who played Marvel’s Hammer brother was in the movie 12 Warriors, about the first Us troops to fight alongside the tribes in Afghanistan.
But as Mr Bush’s chief of staff recalls, the plan was quickly scrapped because it was too focused on «revenge», and America’s elite wanted far more than revenge.
It was well known that the United States wanted a pro-American regime in Central Asia, and after World War II, the CIA worked hard to turn Iran into a pro-American regime by staging a series of coups. It was successful at first, but in 1978, it collapsed overnight. The Iranian revolution toppled the pro-American regime, the Shah left the country, and the new Iranian government demanded that the Shah be handed over by the United States, and to do so, they kidnapped a bunch of American embassy officials.
In the middle, the US is playing hot with Pakistan, which is weaker but can make do. It is a geostrategic decision that Paki is destined to side with China against India. So Paki is one of the few countries in the world that is weirdly close to both the USA and China. Even Kissinger’s visit to China was secretly sneaked into China from Pakistan.
The United States wanted to operate a foothold in Central Asia, and then the bin Laden affair broke out. At a time of national grief, some strategists smiled.
Actually look at a map to know that Afghanistan is on high ground, the north is Russian Turkestan, the eastern border with Xinjiang China there is a long and narrow corridor (attached), the south is the «big areas of India, Pakistan and India are former British» Indian «), the west is Persian if in such a place, well many to count.
First of all, it can threaten Russia. The United States already has a missile defence system in Western Europe and also in Turkey. Now, if Afghanistan is secured, it will be able to pull Russia in three directions simultaneously in Western Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia.
Secondly, Afghanistan is next to China’s Xinjiang, so it would be too easy to make small moves, which would not only cause trouble but also create military pressure on Northwest China, where China would have to deploy a large army to guard against India and the United States. We’ll be in the South China Sea by 1505, in the Northwest by 2406, playing cards with Bucky on weekends.
In the eyes of the Us, Pakistan is a snake and a rat, mainly because it is next to China. If the US takes Afghanistan and sits on Pakistan’s head, it can take out one of China’s Allies, depending on whether it is hedging its bets.
Iran has energy, China has industrial goods, and the two easily complement each other. The problem is that China and Iran are not close to each other. Afghanistan is in the middle.
So if the United States can occupy Afghanistan, directly cut off the channel between China and Iraq, and can also keep Pakistan from doing bad things, it is not too good.
At this point, you may be wondering, all this big thing, just to fuck someone else? How do you make a profit?
Actually, for a superpower, he ate dividend «order, as long as it can prevent other countries become a superpower, can absorb the all over the world, always it is a bit like now pay a big price in China, but China this kind of» drug-free environment itself can bring a lot of production of dividends, to the point of zero cost is not what.
By occupying Afghanistan, we can keep China and Russia in check at the same time, and we can also keep India in check, and we can kill several powers that might challenge the US in the future. If Afghanistan is further established as an example of democracy, then perhaps the five central Asian countries will be revolutionized and turn to the United States.
So if the US wants to maintain the order of 2000 to continue sucking blood, it needs to maintain the status quo, and it needs to pay for it.
Most of all, the big spender’s antipathy supporters in the United States very much, after all, war industry group in the United States the lobbying power of first-class, finally only sanders such mental opposition to the war, but it’s no use against, then is the strongest in human history of the United States, so-and-so collapse, who CARES if one day the naysayers socialist?
Then the war machine was turned on. Even war began when Mr Putin very supports, after all, the United States has just been a terrorist attack, anti-terrorism, it stood on the moral high ground, play is sure to be played, Putin wants the U.S. to hurry out hurry to walk, Osama bin laden and the u.s.-Russian relations is the best of times, Mr Putin also hopes to be able to help, he ran to Kyrgyzstan, want to come to the airport to the United States.
We all know what followed. The U.S. and his Canadian buddies spent 18 years in the mountains of Afghanistan, directly and indirectly spending $2 trillion, winning every battle and losing the war, just as they did in Vietnam.
I won’t go into the details of the war, but the most interesting thing is that almost everyone thought the Taliban had been bombed out once the war began. After all, it was hard to evade remote satellites, drones, and enhanced sniper rifles for long enough.
Even more brutal than these are America’s Allies in Afghanistan. Afghanistan is not a modern society, it is more like a jungle. The people in Afghanistan are not even human, they are just beasts.
However, after these brutal Allies were exposed, the United States itself had a deep reflection and believed that if it continued to make friends with these beasts, Afghanistan would only become more and more rubbish, never peaceful, further and further away from its original intention, and such Allies could not be a «model». So they did not cooperate with them and found another moderate force to be their brothers. This one was more respectable, but the problem was that, as everyone had seen the other day, its combat effectiveness was negative and it was vulnerable to a single blow.
Later the everyone all knows, 20 years of the Taliban, to play more and more money to spend more and more, in Sichuan and the total period, this enough to finally be broke, the two wars is a bottomless pit, never even the purpose, the fight is debilitating, total want to quit, Sichuan didn’t go through until Joe Biden took office finally completely out of the race.
With that comes the removal of major risks in China’s northwestern frontier.
At worst, Afghanistan could erupt into a civil war that lasts forever. Afghanistan has always been a place of warlords. The US has been there for 20 years and nothing has changed. This time the Taliban took power and the other warlords were not hit.
Please do not glorify the Taliban, which is also an extremist religious organization. They took power from the United States, not because they are advanced, but because they are backward enough to belong to a medieval theocracy, which makes it a little difficult for a modern country like the United States to do so.
The median situation is when they have a stable regime, they need to spend money, and then we can go mining, no doubt about that, even in the last five years, we still have several projects in Afghanistan.
As for the discussion on the Internet these days about whether the new government will be trustworthy or trustworthy, and whether to study in China or the United States, in fact, it is meaningless. It is just like a student with poor grades trying to decide whether to go to Tsinghua University or Peking University. Afghanistan as a whole is poor and divided, which breeds extreme religion, which further inhibits any other progressive move.
Afghanistan used to be a Buddhist country, so there were giant buddhas. Later, the giant Buddhas remained until 2001, when the «extreme green» Taliban blew up the giant Buddhas. It can be seen that in recent decades, those religious organizations have become more and more extreme.
As to some people worry that Afghanistan’s internal chaos will spread to our country, this is almost impossible, an extreme religious organization is the most important weapon is «extreme poverty and ignorance», so have the believers to do human bomb sabotage, this is a very difficult on the Chinese side to develop if they want to call back, it’s a skin itch, attention, The most important thing about the Taliban is that they are very difficult to destroy. Their attack force is very poor, and they can’t compare with the regular army of big countries.
Of course, if Afghanistan starts to industrialize, it can only rely on China. What about India?
In any case, the worst-case scenario was that the United States would create a pro-American regime in our northwest frontier. Now that the risk is completely removed, so it is good for China anyway.